NZ Election 2026 · The Parties, the Issues and the Long Game

The parties · 4 of 7, by current seats

ACT

At a glance

Poll average (%)
10
Readiness to 2050 /100
58 fair
Voter priorities /100
56 fair
Confidence it happens
Low
Fiscal detail
Full plan

Current settings score 58 on Readiness to 2050 and 55 on Voter priorities. Confidence is shown beside the scores, never added to them.

Grouping scores

Select a grouping for the rationale and sources behind each score.

Who

A classical liberal party and junior coalition partner. Seymour is Deputy Prime Minister and Minister for Regulation.

The pitch

"The Government doesn't have a revenue problem, it has a spending problem." Balance the books without new taxes, then cut taxes broadly.

Coalition stance and bottom lines

Wants the coalition re-elected "to go further and faster". Rules out Labour, the Greens and Te Pāti Māori. Seymour says a deal including Opportunity "would be a good outcome", splitting from Luxon.

Five headline policies

  1. Lifts the NZ Super age to 67 by 2035
  2. Cuts back-office spending to 2017 levels per person
  3. Shrinks government to 19 departments and 18 ministers
  4. Removes tax on KiwiSaver earnings
  5. Repeals net zero and abolishes the Climate Change Commission; returns carbon auction money to New Zealanders as a tax refund

Who gains / Who pays

Who gainsWho pays
KiwiSaver saversPeople approaching 65
Future taxpayers, through lower debtHealth and disability beneficiaries
Pharmacy usersBack-office public servants

On the long game

  • Builds: ageing
  • Borrows: productivity, climate, infrastructure
  • Global risks with a concrete plan: 3 of 5 (Climate change and ecological breakdown; Great-power conflict, including nuclear war; Erosion of trust and governance)
  • Governing for the long term: Four-year term: Committed · With other parties: Silent · Institutions: Weakens · Inheritance: Acknowledges
Four pressures to 2050
PressureEffectWould it last?
Ageing and the fiscal gapBuildsUnlikely
Productivity and incomesBorrowsUnlikely
Climate and resilienceBorrowsUnlikely
The infrastructure deficitBorrowsUnlikely
Five global risks
RiskAt homeWith others
Advanced AI going badlyAcknowledgesAcknowledges
Climate change and ecological breakdownSilentPlans
Engineered pandemicsSilentSilent
Great-power conflict, including nuclear warPlansAcknowledges
Erosion of trust and governancePlansSilent

Governing for the long term

ACT: governing for the long term

Rating on each count, Rated, never added to the scores. Rests on a stated value: long-term plans should survive a change of government.

CommittedPlansAcknowledgesSilentWeakens

Rated, never added to the scores. Rests on a stated value: long-term plans should survive a change of government. ACT: Four-year term Committed, Plans with other parties Silent, Long-term institutions Weakens, Honours what it inherits Acknowledges.

ACT
Ratings from party documents and votes to the evidence cut-off; every rating, note and source is in continuity-ratings.csv on the sources page.
Sources for these ratings

Watch for

The website says "cut $9.5 billion a year"; the plan's cuts peak at $3.2b a year, so the larger figure looks like a four-year total. Every cost pressure, health included, must fit in a $2b allowance. Its surplus comes a year earlier than the other plans (2027/28, excluding ACC), and debt would be $12.4b below Treasury's forecast by June 2031. It would freeze the adult minimum wage for three years. The Super age rise collides with an NZ First bottom line. On Te Tiriti, it would finish Treaty settlements and then wind up the Waitangi Tribunal.

Party order is by seats in the current Parliament. 7 parties, the same template each.